Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 6.076401 6.932549 7.877253 8.998843 10.296527 11.753570 13.517464
2025-05-25 4.855232 5.947724 7.249581 8.922008 11.023180 13.588142 16.975702
2025-06-01 4.073594 5.254196 6.742129 8.768033 11.474554 14.993575 19.960907
2025-06-08 3.506011 4.712816 6.303923 8.575053 11.765764 16.136321 22.658198
2025-06-15 3.256383 4.541195 6.304787 8.931449 12.793973 18.342978 27.058936
2025-06-22 2.976425 4.285142 6.145578 9.021541 13.424210 20.022367 30.872694
2025-06-29 2.704303 4.004944 5.912410 8.960932 13.799814 21.334846 34.255517
2025-07-06 2.462783 3.741916 5.671739 8.851343 14.069049 22.486774 37.494494
2025-07-13 2.345432 3.654501 5.685401 9.134010 14.983786 24.761725 42.892644
2025-07-20 2.224321 3.547530 5.654237 9.333619 15.771666 26.898296 48.312673
2025-07-27 2.144601 3.498468 5.708876 9.676743 16.834041 29.617294 55.144816
2025-08-03 1.971900 3.278955 5.459063 9.465326 16.882985 30.512181 58.613788
2025-08-10 1.828832 3.100031 5.266389 9.342611 17.091981 31.747259 62.969685
2025-08-17 1.703098 2.940588 5.093516 9.237948 17.321422 33.043646 67.629016
2025-08-24 1.581444 2.778060 4.900616 9.075316 17.417401 34.080699 71.873569
2025-08-31 1.466415 2.618122 4.698658 8.874670 17.413301 34.907566 75.762896
2025-09-07 1.438017 2.615012 4.785717 9.244636 18.604251 38.347246 86.036675
2025-09-14 1.376197 2.543886 4.737614 9.338171 19.225863 40.638750 93.971670
2025-09-21 1.300726 2.440699 4.619011 9.275242 19.503390 42.200803 100.371794
2025-09-28 1.225692 2.332740 4.482407 9.161464 19.655782 43.493941 106.289628
2025-10-05 1.199833 2.320048 4.534833 9.454947 20.752056 47.101643 118.717802
2025-10-12 1.166299 2.289224 4.547504 9.662213 21.671498 50.399170 130.859139
2025-10-19 1.148659 2.289472 4.624214 10.018532 22.980376 54.810965 146.799163